Archive - Kaoboy Musings

Re: Oil-Deep Dive & The Supply/Demand Singularity Revisited.

Pun intended on the "Deep Dive" part -- at least in the short-term. Read further to find out what I think the future holds for Oil.

May 25, 2023 •

Re: Geopolitics/Inflation/USD-Ball In A China Shop.

Why a Strong USD Policy is a far more potent geopolitical lever against China rather than traditional sanctions. Beware the BALL in a China Shop …

Mar 11, 2023 •

Re: Investing - Opening The Kimono: 2023 In Review.

I seldom talk about my Micro/Idiosyncratic bets, but I "open the kimono" here as I talk both Micro/Macro and share some thoughts on 2024. Think of this…

Dec 24, 2023 •

West Point Paper -- Part 1/4

"US Dollar Primacy in an Age of Economic Warfare"

Feb 25, 2023 •

Re: Geopolitics/Demographics/Inflation - The Great Power Competition Between US & China.

On May 11, 2023, I chaired a private event discussing this globally important topic with a panel of experts. This is a synopsis of that event, with…

Jun 17, 2023 •

Kaoboy Musings on Substack is back!

Cutting in the Sub-Light Engines and Exiting TwitterSpace...

Feb 4, 2023 •

Re: Oil/Investing - Lessons From The Oil Patch / Will Atlas Shrug?

This is a retrospective on some of the lessons I've learned over my career in investing and hedging in the Oil & Gas space.

Jun 8, 2023 •

Re: Macro/USD/Oil/Geopolitics - The Battle of the BADS.

A tour of the key Scylla/Charybdis Dilemmas facing major policymakers on the world stage. As you will see, the policy choices in most cases are between…

Apr 6, 2024 •

Re: Investing - Is Alpha a Mirage in a Desert of Beta?

Generating True Alpha is as difficult as finding water in a desert; most people's notions of Alpha are really "Beta Hitchhiking." Discussion of Alpha…

Jun 1, 2024 •

Re: Inflation/USD - The Four Horsemen of US Resilience Will Make the Fed an Uneven "Distributor of Pain."

US Resilience is going to force the Fed to break RoW first, and the Fed will become an Uneven "Distributor of Pain" through the USD Wrecking Ball…

Sep 6, 2023 •

Re: USD/China - The Donkey Kong Dollar Peg.

Why CNH/CNY will likely continue to weaken and why HKD is also vulnerable.

Jul 22, 2023 •

Kaos Theory Episode 1: Michael St. Pierre

Listen now (67 min) | Debut Episode. Grant and I interview Michael St. Pierre (MSP) of the Royal Canadian Navy. MSP and I collaborated on a paper in…

Jun 11, 2023 •

,

Michael St-Pierre

, and

1:06:38

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