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KAOBOY MUSINGS and its associated podcast KAOS THEORY focus on the intersection of Financial Markets, Macroeconomics and Geopolitics. I've spent 30+ years as a trader/hedge fund manager and now manage money for my family office across many asset classes.

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Interview: Markets & Macro Twitter Space with Jeremy Schwartz & Jeff Weniger.

Jeff and Jeremy host me for a discussion on the USD, Oil, and other Macro topics.

Michael Kao

Oct 10, 2023

I always enjoy doing these chats with Jeff and Jeremy because of their provocative and informed questions.

Here is a recording of that link:

https://twitter.com/JeffWeniger/status/1704585023532241188

Show Notes

Here are a couple links to past threads I referenced:

Re: Inflation/USD - The Four Horsemen of US Resilience Will Make the Fed an Uneven "Distributor of Pain."

Michael Kao

Sep 6

Re: Inflation/USD - The Four Horsemen of US Resilience Will Make the Fed an Uneven "Distributor of Pain."

I recently wrote a piece in which I compared the Fed to Ivan Drago, who famously said “I must break you” to Rocky in Rocky IV. As with most analogies, this one is imperfect, because in my Bizarro version of this tale, the Ivan Drago Fed will be the last man standing in its Inflation Fight.

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Re: Oil-Forward Curves & Holy Grails (or Lack Thereof).

Michael Kao

September 5, 2022

Re: Oil-Forward Curves & Holy Grails (or Lack Thereof).

First, let me dispel the notion that there is an easy, tried-and-true leading indicator/model for predicting price movements of Oil, or for that matter ANYTHING. Ridiculous notions of “stock-to-flow/halving models” for $BTC come to mind. Second, let me dispel once and for all the notion that CURRENT FORWARD prices in the curve reliably predict FUTURE SPO…

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* KAOS THEORY Podcast Series Substack Directory *

Michael Kao

Aug 21

* KAOS THEORY Podcast Series Substack Directory *

6/11/23 -- Kaos Theory Episode 1: Michael St. Pierre 7/30/23 -- Kaos Theory Episode 2: Richard Lacquement 8/21/23 -- Kaos Theory Episode 3: Scott SmitsonKaoboy Musings is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

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