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Kaoboy Musings
Re: Oil-When Will EV Adoption Cause Peak Oil Demand?

Re: Oil-When Will EV Adoption Cause Peak Oil Demand?

Although this will eventually happen, to paraphrase Mark Twain, "The reports of the death of hydrocarbons are greatly exaggerated."

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Michael Kao
Apr 22, 2021
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Kaoboy Musings
Kaoboy Musings
Re: Oil-When Will EV Adoption Cause Peak Oil Demand?
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First, the short-term picture for oil demand. Pre-COVID, we were at ~100 mmbpd. Currently, we're at 95 mm bpd. YE21 we will be at ~98 mm bpd; YE22 we will be at 102 mm bpd.

Here are some predictions for global EV penetration, courtesy of Capital One: 5.8% for '23, 11% for '25, 26% for '30, 57% for '40. EV unlikely to materially impact gasoline demand unt…

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