Interview: On The Tape Podcast with Guy Adami & Danny Moses / Macro, Oil, USD, Sovereign Debt Endgames.

First time on the pod for me -- was great to meet Guy and Danny face-to-face as we crammed a lot of Macro topics into 30 minutes.

Guy, Dan, and Danny discuss mixed messages in the market (1:00), where’s the recession? (6:00), the best-looking charts in the market, according to Danny (9:30), mega-cap tech stocks not acting well (10:30), Morgan Stanley’s Tesla upgrade (14:30), banks (16:30), Danny pounding the table on Genius Sports/Sportradar stocks (25:00), airlines (26:30), Vertu (32:00), Danny’s NFL picks (33:00), and Gamestop (33:30) . Later, Danny and Guy sit down with Michael Kao, a private investor at Kao Family Office, to discuss the four horsemen impacting the Fed (40:00), natural gas (45:00), what would trigger oil to sell-off (46:30), China (49:00), global macro headwinds for oil (55:00), Japan (1:00:00), and yields (1:05:00).

My segment starts around 38:00:

YouTube:

Apple Podcast:

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Show Notes:

Here are the previous Substack posts I referenced in order of mention during our chat.

Original call linking Oil Bull with USD Wrecking Ball back in 2021:

Most recent post on factors making US Economy most resilient in world:

Clash of the Titans between the Fed and OPEC+:

My bearish call on CNH (in fact my “chicken” way to hedge Oil):

February West Point paper on “USD Primacy In An Era of Economic Warfare”:

My nuanced view of Oil (LT Bullish, ST Bearish):

My piece last year on Asian Contagion 2.0:

Sovereign Debt Endgames: